Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico St.
Western Athletic
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#87
Expected Predictive Rating+6.5#81
Pace65.5#214
Improvement+3.0#60

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#129
Improvement+0.9#123

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#76
Improvement+2.1#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round19.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.7% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2012 103   @ Oregon St. L 62-71 42%     0 - 1 -1.2 -12.2 +11.4
  Nov 15, 2012 280   SE Louisiana W 81-56 93%     1 - 1 +14.4 +9.8 +6.4
  Nov 17, 2012 61   Bucknell L 49-62 41%     1 - 2 -5.0 -12.8 +6.3
  Nov 18, 2012 133   @ Niagara L 83-86 51%     1 - 3 +2.5 +3.5 -0.8
  Nov 23, 2012 233   Louisiana W 79-57 88%     2 - 3 +14.7 -8.5 +20.3
  Nov 28, 2012 110   @ UTEP L 54-55 44%     2 - 4 +6.2 -5.9 +11.9
  Dec 01, 2012 59   Southern Miss W 68-60 52%     3 - 4 +13.0 +1.8 +11.9
  Dec 04, 2012 202   @ South Alabama W 58-52 66%     4 - 4 +7.4 -11.6 +19.0
  Dec 15, 2012 16   @ New Mexico L 58-73 14%     4 - 5 +2.0 +0.1 +0.6
  Dec 19, 2012 16   New Mexico L 63-68 32%     4 - 6 +5.6 +3.8 +1.2
  Dec 22, 2012 197   Missouri St. W 71-51 84%     5 - 6 +15.2 -3.9 +19.5
  Dec 29, 2012 141   @ Texas Arlington L 47-68 53%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -16.2 -14.1 -4.8
  Dec 31, 2012 86   @ Louisiana Tech L 72-81 38%     5 - 8 0 - 2 -0.1 +3.7 -3.4
  Jan 03, 2013 246   Texas San Antonio W 82-62 89%     6 - 8 1 - 2 +12.0 +3.9 +8.1
  Jan 05, 2013 252   Texas St. W 78-67 90%     7 - 8 2 - 2 +2.4 +1.4 +1.4
  Jan 10, 2013 229   @ Seattle W 83-82 2OT 73%     8 - 8 3 - 2 +0.3 -3.9 +4.0
  Jan 12, 2013 200   @ Idaho W 71-70 65%     9 - 8 4 - 2 +2.5 +1.4 +1.3
  Jan 17, 2013 116   Utah St. W 64-51 70%     10 - 8 5 - 2 +13.2 +0.0 +15.7
  Jan 19, 2013 302   San Jose St. W 70-53 94%     11 - 8 6 - 2 +4.6 +3.0 +3.6
  Jan 23, 2013 54   Denver W 53-42 48%     12 - 8 7 - 2 +17.0 -5.0 +24.7
  Jan 31, 2013 252   @ Texas St. W 86-72 77%     13 - 8 8 - 2 +11.9 +7.1 +4.3
  Feb 02, 2013 246   @ Texas San Antonio W 75-62 75%     14 - 8 9 - 2 +11.5 +7.1 +5.6
  Feb 07, 2013 200   Idaho W 76-74 84%     15 - 8 10 - 2 -2.9 -2.4 -0.5
  Feb 09, 2013 229   Seattle W 60-57 88%     16 - 8 11 - 2 -4.2 -9.0 +5.0
  Feb 14, 2013 302   @ San Jose St. W 67-57 86%     17 - 8 12 - 2 +4.1 -2.7 +7.1
  Feb 16, 2013 116   @ Utah St. L 69-73 46%     17 - 9 12 - 3 +2.7 +1.5 +0.9
  Feb 23, 2013 110   UTEP W 55-51 68%     18 - 9 +4.7 -9.2 +14.4
  Mar 02, 2013 54   @ Denver L 60-66 25%     18 - 10 12 - 4 +6.5 +1.0 +4.7
  Mar 07, 2013 86   Louisiana Tech W 78-60 62%     19 - 10 13 - 4 +20.4 +12.1 +8.7
  Mar 09, 2013 141   Texas Arlington W 69-66 76%     20 - 10 14 - 4 +1.4 -4.5 +5.7
  Mar 14, 2013 200   Idaho W 65-49 76%     21 - 10 +14.3 -1.2 +18.8
  Mar 15, 2013 252   Texas St. W 74-65 85%     22 - 10 +3.7 -2.3 +6.1
  Mar 16, 2013 141   Texas Arlington W 64-55 65%     23 - 10 +10.6 -0.8 +12.0
Projected Record 23.0 - 10.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.0 0.1 7.1 86.5 6.3 0.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.1 7.1 86.5 6.3 0.0